Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.383074 13.926771 15.671783 17.808030 20.377014 23.398515 27.268969
2025-05-11 10.555440 12.547688 14.989646 18.264520 22.640636 28.440638 36.992274
2025-05-18 9.252019 11.376866 14.116187 18.014283 23.611427 31.696624 44.984426
2025-05-25 8.328037 10.508473 13.431406 17.792045 24.435893 34.771201 53.521457
2025-06-01 7.663299 9.880828 12.953417 17.729104 25.401204 38.185126 63.729605
2025-06-08 7.011791 9.191057 12.288549 17.260588 25.596603 40.305134 72.284466
2025-06-15 6.582393 8.768247 11.954063 17.235742 26.487197 43.829284 85.232116
2025-06-22 6.036631 8.126550 11.223415 16.469889 25.938472 44.456754 91.799839
2025-06-29 5.545399 7.528543 10.506594 15.641259 25.139181 44.389635 96.623953
2025-07-06 5.174855 7.086356 9.996338 15.105898 24.805077 45.228707 104.418829
2025-07-13 5.295227 7.398762 10.705835 16.771453 29.038498 57.495289 156.024187
2025-07-20 5.181950 7.335222 10.792192 17.319015 31.102048 65.358082 201.462377
2025-07-27 4.857669 6.925271 10.283206 16.726110 30.669427 66.744813 222.791823
2025-08-03 4.730098 6.825810 10.297475 17.147874 32.629470 75.724329 295.583199
2025-08-10 4.512029 6.562429 10.003033 16.918472 33.007603 80.118496 351.944274
2025-08-17 4.317056 6.325406 9.736707 16.714970 33.413424 84.830674 422.899464
2025-08-24 4.159155 6.141193 9.551005 16.657309 34.183723 91.230240 529.264556
2025-08-31 3.962675 5.880606 9.207830 16.227887 33.895404 93.632300 607.743106
2025-09-07 3.834751 5.730961 9.059325 16.205102 34.717760 100.907247 783.179499
2025-09-14 3.628590 5.436054 8.621559 15.502244 33.510865 99.201708 824.726613
2025-09-21 3.427413 5.142257 8.172007 14.740519 32.039840 95.929334 833.210604
2025-09-28 3.271518 4.922009 7.851659 14.247671 31.293436 95.755717 907.105387
2025-10-05 3.366094 5.146326 8.393015 15.779134 36.919214 129.716016 2378.665654